Lowest Mortgage Rates in a Month


Mortgage rates dropped noticeably this morning as financial markets opened sharply changed from Friday’s latest levels thanks to Trump trade tweets over the weekend.  The stock market dropped to its lowest levels in several weeks before bouncing back as the day progressed.  As money flew out of stocks, it found a safe haven in the bond market.  Mortgage rates are most directly affected by the bond market, and when demand for bonds increases, rates fall.  

The average lender was offering its best rates in roughly a month this morning.  You’d have to go back to April 10th to see anything lower.  And there were multiple lenders offering their lowest rates since April 1st.

Rates will remain susceptible to trade-related headlines throughout the week as there isn’t much else on the calendar of events (at least not in terms of events that the bond market typically cares about).  To whatever extent trade talks look like they will bear fruit, it would put upward pressure on rates.  Conversely, we might assume that negative updates on trade talks would continue to help rates, but markets are skeptical on the source.  If a Trump tweet is all we have, the average trader will view this as a potential negotiation tactic and thus not as meaningful a reason to chase rates to even lower levels.

Loan Originator Perspective

Trump’s trade war tariff tweets sent equities tumbling and thrust treasuries higher today.  My pricing improved noticeably from Friday’s.  There was no meaningful economic data today, and scant data this week.  I’m locking loans closing within 30 days, it’ll take more DC Drama or Tariff Turmoil to keep this rally moving forward. –Ted Rood, Senior Originator

Today’s Most Prevalent Rates

  • 30YR FIXED – 4.25
  • FHA/VA – 4.0%
  • 15 YEAR FIXED – 4.00% 
  • 5 YEAR ARMS –  3.875-4.25% depending on the lender